This article is interesting, but it is the perspective of a single cheesemaker who was seriously harmed by Brexit. I would be really interested in a broader analysis of the overall effects of Brexit on the United Kingdom. I looked for this a week or two ago with disappointing results. Can anyone suggest such an article?
I think the discourse is still too politicized to get a clear view either way. Most outlets synthesizing data from multiple sources have a political axe to grind about Brexit, whether pro or anti, so your best bet is just to look at economic indicators and see how they're doing. Plus, it's difficult to separate Brexit effects from COVID effects.
Unemployment is very low compared to the last few decades. Government borrowing is obviously very high because of COVID measures. Houses prices are very high, which is good or bad depending on your perspective. GDP is growing and the UK is not in recession, but inflation is rising and that may cause significant problems next year.
It'll probably be a few years before we can definitively say whether the UK is going to turn into a basket case or not.
Also the benefit may not be directly measurable but still incredibly important.
For example what will be the cumulative impact over the next 100 years of having the people in the UK making the decisions, directly accountable to voters again.
If it's really "the biggest disaster that any government has ever negotiated", then they ought to be able to find a bit more evidence than one cheesemaker. I mean, I get that they want people to be able to relate to the alleged harm on a personal level. But they also need to demonstrate that the harm is pervasive. Failing to do so makes an emotional story, but an unconvincing one.
It’s just not possible yet - and be warned that any article which tries to say otherwise is likely pushing an agenda.
Brexit only really happened a year ago, in terms of rules actually changing - right in the middle of the pandemic, which will make it difficult to understand the effects for some time to come.
Comments
This article is interesting, but it is the perspective of a single cheesemaker who was seriously harmed by Brexit. I would be really interested in a broader analysis of the overall effects of Brexit on the United Kingdom. I looked for this a week or two ago with disappointing results. Can anyone suggest such an article?
I think the discourse is still too politicized to get a clear view either way. Most outlets synthesizing data from multiple sources have a political axe to grind about Brexit, whether pro or anti, so your best bet is just to look at economic indicators and see how they're doing. Plus, it's difficult to separate Brexit effects from COVID effects.
Unemployment is very low compared to the last few decades. Government borrowing is obviously very high because of COVID measures. Houses prices are very high, which is good or bad depending on your perspective. GDP is growing and the UK is not in recession, but inflation is rising and that may cause significant problems next year.
It'll probably be a few years before we can definitively say whether the UK is going to turn into a basket case or not.
Also the benefit may not be directly measurable but still incredibly important.
For example what will be the cumulative impact over the next 100 years of having the people in the UK making the decisions, directly accountable to voters again.
Could you explain how Boris is being held directly accountable? And perhaps some decisions that might lead to some incredibly important benefit?
Elections, deregulation.
"Deregulation" is the nicest, simplest, most persuasive way of saying "British companies won't have to get a CE mark for their products".
Would help if UK started to actually implementing things
If it's really "the biggest disaster that any government has ever negotiated", then they ought to be able to find a bit more evidence than one cheesemaker. I mean, I get that they want people to be able to relate to the alleged harm on a personal level. But they also need to demonstrate that the harm is pervasive. Failing to do so makes an emotional story, but an unconvincing one.
It’s just not possible yet - and be warned that any article which tries to say otherwise is likely pushing an agenda.
Brexit only really happened a year ago, in terms of rules actually changing - right in the middle of the pandemic, which will make it difficult to understand the effects for some time to come.
“Well, obviously it’s not meant to be taken literally; it refers to any manufacturers of dairy products.”
Only those who sell direct to consumers. Companies who sell to distributors and retailers in the EU work with different rules.