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The rules also mention:

If the total prizes won for any drawing, exceed 200% of the net sales for that drawing the prize amounts will be based upon a formula detailed in the Rules and Regulations or Administrative Bulletins issued thereunder.

which has to add a little FUD into the thinking.

Yes, although historically it's clear that the payouts make it profitable to buy tickets on rolldown days, the actual formula used to calculate the payouts was opaque. I heard that one of the lottery syndicates actually made a request under the Massachusetts Public Records Law to get the lottery commission to reveal the formula, which they eventually did.

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