"but YC doesn't make offers to just any team. YC only picks the best teams (about 5% of applicants if I'm remembering the statistics correctly)...
distinguishing teams which have a 50%+ chance of success from those with a 5% chance of success"
Perhaps we should give them a few more years of operation before we assume those to be facts. So far the vast majority of funded teams haven't resolved one way or the other, which is actually a pretty good sign, but I think I'd still bet the under on 50%.
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"but YC doesn't make offers to just any team. YC only picks the best teams (about 5% of applicants if I'm remembering the statistics correctly)...
distinguishing teams which have a 50%+ chance of success from those with a 5% chance of success"
Perhaps we should give them a few more years of operation before we assume those to be facts. So far the vast majority of funded teams haven't resolved one way or the other, which is actually a pretty good sign, but I think I'd still bet the under on 50%.