I am explicitly concerned about the point in time nature. I am glad you pointed out all of the migration anomalies, as well as the future possibility for more.
Edit: also I would not balk at 500k deaths. There will be more to come as well. That is a significant portion of the voting age and likely voter populations.
Especially since we are talking 10-year increments here, for the pandemic to have a real impact on census stuff, it would have to have killed many people _who were not otherwise going to die over the next decade_. Most likely, we front-loaded a lot of these expected deaths to the early part of the decade. That is to say, at some point in the next 10 years the census will be an accurate representation of living voting-age people in the USA.
I didn't balk at 500k deaths. In fact, I tried to make sure that nobody would accuse me of downplaying the deaths/impact of the pandemic.
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I am explicitly concerned about the point in time nature. I am glad you pointed out all of the migration anomalies, as well as the future possibility for more.
Edit: also I would not balk at 500k deaths. There will be more to come as well. That is a significant portion of the voting age and likely voter populations.
Especially since we are talking 10-year increments here, for the pandemic to have a real impact on census stuff, it would have to have killed many people _who were not otherwise going to die over the next decade_. Most likely, we front-loaded a lot of these expected deaths to the early part of the decade. That is to say, at some point in the next 10 years the census will be an accurate representation of living voting-age people in the USA.
I didn't balk at 500k deaths. In fact, I tried to make sure that nobody would accuse me of downplaying the deaths/impact of the pandemic.