> Facebook is not going to be supplanted by Twitter or iCloud...
...and neither will HTML pages supplant desktop applications or brick-and-mortar stores, right? Because neither of these serve remotely the same purpose?
That's exactly the way things often go in technology and business. New wins over incumbents not by attacking them head-on on their home turf, but by creating a new niche with some interesting, unforeseen properties.
At some point commerce realizes world + dog uses it and start providing goods and services -- and the new is thence understood to have supplanted the incumbent.
Facebook is pretty much the landline phone of late XX century. The market's ripe for something like the cellphone to disrupt it.
Twitter? Maybe. iCloud? Not a chance. A proprietary service that you can only access on a limited number of proprietary pieces of hardware (with absolutely zero transparency) is never going to reach a large mass of users, never-mind if you attempted to shoe-horn a proprietary social network on top of it.
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> Facebook is not going to be supplanted by Twitter or iCloud...
...and neither will HTML pages supplant desktop applications or brick-and-mortar stores, right? Because neither of these serve remotely the same purpose?
That's exactly the way things often go in technology and business. New wins over incumbents not by attacking them head-on on their home turf, but by creating a new niche with some interesting, unforeseen properties.
At some point commerce realizes world + dog uses it and start providing goods and services -- and the new is thence understood to have supplanted the incumbent.
Facebook is pretty much the landline phone of late XX century. The market's ripe for something like the cellphone to disrupt it.
Twitter? Maybe. iCloud? Not a chance. A proprietary service that you can only access on a limited number of proprietary pieces of hardware (with absolutely zero transparency) is never going to reach a large mass of users, never-mind if you attempted to shoe-horn a proprietary social network on top of it.