It really depends whether we are a niche or the leading edge. If we are the leading edge then the masses will use these new systems later and it's worth building technologies now.
Bear in mind that your argument applied to email in 1986 when I first got the email address jgc@prg.ox.ac.uk.
We're talking 1986 here. That email was based on the command-line, but we did have IM: it was called talk. And we had anonymous peer-to-peer file sharing using FTP. And we had discussion forums using Usenet.
We didn't have Facebook, but we didn't need it. I knew everyone who was using the Internet :-)
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the average person still uses email, not facebook. i think sometimes we think we are the average person and that is a huge mistake.
It really depends whether we are a niche or the leading edge. If we are the leading edge then the masses will use these new systems later and it's worth building technologies now.
Bear in mind that your argument applied to email in 1986 when I first got the email address jgc@prg.ox.ac.uk.
that email wasn't web based was it? thats changed. (unless it was ;)
good point though
We're talking 1986 here. That email was based on the command-line, but we did have IM: it was called talk. And we had anonymous peer-to-peer file sharing using FTP. And we had discussion forums using Usenet.
We didn't have Facebook, but we didn't need it. I knew everyone who was using the Internet :-)