The first comment does, but the responses are more prescient:
Pullleeeeaze! What makes Moores 'Law' the end all and be all for computer advancements? It's not like the Law of gravity or thermodynamics for goodness sakes! Moores 'Law' has to break down at some point. There needs to be a whole new paradigm of microporcessor technonogy before we get to speeds of 128GB. It will either be optical or wave based (the rest of the thread is filled with snark about his "GB" typo)
then again,
By 2011 we will have implementation of Quantum Processing that will make the xHZ debate look like the colonists debating over sucession from the UK.
or how about
true, clunky beige boxes will be out of style. I was thinking more like 3 in. cube.
(would you settle for a MacBook Air?) Or there's also
As Gropo pointed out, there is in fact a point where Moore's law breaks down. So far since about 1975 it has held, and it will continue to until about 2004 or 2005. At that point, we run into an actual physical-laws-of-nature barrier.
As silicon-based transistors decrease in size, obviously, all parts of the transistor have to shrink. This includes the gap at the PN-junction. Once this gap reaches a certain size (currently estimated at approximately the width of five silicon atoms), quantum effects (strong force, weak force, et al) begin to overtake the electromagnetic force that allows the transistor to transist. In other words… it's no longer a transistor, just a really small piece of doped silicon that doesn't do much
which is true apart from the bit about 2005, because we're still very far away from having any components which are only 5 Si atoms across.
The point is, within ten years, we won't be using silicon-based computers. They'll be made obsolete by DNA/protein type bio-computers or maybe molecular computers
[takes a drink]
Do you know there is something called carbon nanotube? The nanotube is only 1 to 10 nanometer(1/1000 of a micron) in diameter and might be the second best conductor( next to superconductor) ever know to human beings. And yes, it can operate under room temperature. Also scientists are working on quantum computers. Just ask a scientist and he/she will tell you that a quantum computer will at least 10000 times faster than a current computer. Who cares about Intel's 10 GHz microprocessor?
Comments
I like the comments after the article - many people suggesting that Intel is selling themselves short with this prediction.
The first comment does, but the responses are more prescient:
Pullleeeeaze! What makes Moores 'Law' the end all and be all for computer advancements? It's not like the Law of gravity or thermodynamics for goodness sakes! Moores 'Law' has to break down at some point. There needs to be a whole new paradigm of microporcessor technonogy before we get to speeds of 128GB. It will either be optical or wave based (the rest of the thread is filled with snark about his "GB" typo)
then again,
By 2011 we will have implementation of Quantum Processing that will make the xHZ debate look like the colonists debating over sucession from the UK.
or how about
true, clunky beige boxes will be out of style. I was thinking more like 3 in. cube.
(would you settle for a MacBook Air?) Or there's also
As Gropo pointed out, there is in fact a point where Moore's law breaks down. So far since about 1975 it has held, and it will continue to until about 2004 or 2005. At that point, we run into an actual physical-laws-of-nature barrier. As silicon-based transistors decrease in size, obviously, all parts of the transistor have to shrink. This includes the gap at the PN-junction. Once this gap reaches a certain size (currently estimated at approximately the width of five silicon atoms), quantum effects (strong force, weak force, et al) begin to overtake the electromagnetic force that allows the transistor to transist. In other words… it's no longer a transistor, just a really small piece of doped silicon that doesn't do much
which is true apart from the bit about 2005, because we're still very far away from having any components which are only 5 Si atoms across.
The point is, within ten years, we won't be using silicon-based computers. They'll be made obsolete by DNA/protein type bio-computers or maybe molecular computers
[takes a drink]
Do you know there is something called carbon nanotube? The nanotube is only 1 to 10 nanometer(1/1000 of a micron) in diameter and might be the second best conductor( next to superconductor) ever know to human beings. And yes, it can operate under room temperature. Also scientists are working on quantum computers. Just ask a scientist and he/she will tell you that a quantum computer will at least 10000 times faster than a current computer. Who cares about Intel's 10 GHz microprocessor?
[takes another drink]