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Comment on Excess mortality from March to December of 2020

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This study does not account for the statistical significance of changes in population structure. This study compares 2020 to data including 2015.

The 65-and-older population in the US grew by over a third (34.2% or 13,787,044) during the past decade, and by 3.2% (1,688,924) from 2018 to 2019. The world is aging in all of the countries reported in this study.

The peeks in March are interesting.

This is a great point and could be modelled providing that you have access to prospective mortality tables. I fear they are not easily available for most countries and some might be guarded by actuarial societies. For a bias that might balance things out: measuring covid by excess mortality also fails to account for less deaths by traffic and other infectious diseases. I've never come across mortality tables that are broken down to causes of death.

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