Comment on Excess mortality from March to December of 2020parentComments−JoeData5yThe CDC has an "expected death" curve which reflects the time trend (which thus includes population growth and aging) and seasonality of death.U.S. deaths this year are well above that curve: https://imgur.com/p4kBgXFWe are on track to have 3.2 million to 3.3 million deaths this year. That's a crude death rate of 970 to 1000 deaths per, well above the megatrends (U.N.) forecast of 888.
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The CDC has an "expected death" curve which reflects the time trend (which thus includes population growth and aging) and seasonality of death.
U.S. deaths this year are well above that curve: https://imgur.com/p4kBgXF
We are on track to have 3.2 million to 3.3 million deaths this year. That's a crude death rate of 970 to 1000 deaths per, well above the megatrends (U.N.) forecast of 888.