Skip to content

Comment on IMF: The Age of America About to Endparent

Comments

I keep hearing this repeated, and it's completely false. Even if the Chinese educational system only turns out rote memorizing robots incapable of the kind of creative, breakthrough leaps of discovery the West prides itself on and will never evolve due to cultural momentum and restraints (which I don't buy either but that's a whole nother argument), being economically dominant will enable China to build world-class research facilities and import world-class talent.

The US benefited from such a scientific talent immigration trend after WWII. The European theoretical physics community is benefiting similarly from LHC and the short-sighted cancellation of SSC. Any area of research that requires massive, long-term, blue-sky funding will be dominated by governments willing and able to provide it, and will attract the best talent from all over the world.

The major problems China will face in this instance will be the language barrier and reticence of some scientists to work for a more authoritarian, censoring government. The former is easily solved, the latter is problematic but not insurmountable - even scientists have their price and plenty would convince themselves to work under such a regime in the exact same way Google did (change it for the better by 'engaging' it), especially when the alternative is a stagnant career and dead-end research due to lack of funding elsewhere.

This conceit that many in the US and West have that the quality of our science and research is innate and unimpeachable is both ignorant and complacent. Where there's a will there's a way, and China certainly has the will.

> This conceit that many in the US and West have that the quality of our science and research is innate and unimpeachable is both ignorant and complacent.

Back when Hua Tuo in China was using anesthesia to perform surgery (the period described in the Romance of the Three Kingdoms, and pictured in a movie called Red Cliff by John Woo - awesome epic BTW), the West was living in huts.

The wheel can turn, more than once.

I have no doubt China could build high quality centers of science and import high quality researchers - my only argument was that until this happens the sheer number of scientists in China is not a good way to measure their science production (it's just not apples-to-apples like in a Civ game).

AboutSource Built by g1lg1l

Hackerly is an independent reader for Hacker News, built on the public HN API. Not affiliated with Y Combinator.