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Comment on Are Humans Intelligent? An AI Op-Ed

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Impressive? Absolutely. Monetizable? Unclear to me, but probably somewhere within the vast ad/chatbot/garbage text generation service-scape.

Scary? Not GPT-3, but when GPT-6 or 7 gets involved in the political realm, that’s when people will take notice. This essay has a glimmer of “humans can’t be trusted to govern themselves” - and it’s not entirely unconvincing.

IMO it's (human control, at high levels) all over as soon as a major corporation or state finds a way to gain significant competitive advantage by handing over the reigns to machines. Absent sustained, vigorous opposition and punishment by an alliance of basically everyone else, we'll compete ourselves right into having no choice but to let AI run things, or else become subservient to and marginalized by those who do.

In other words by the time it's a choice, I doubt it'll even be a choice.

Think about that logic for a bit about distribution of expertise vs control. Reducto ad absurdum wouldn't that say we should get rid of doctors? They have an insurmountable competitive advantage if we personally aren't at least a canidate for medical school. Never in our lives could we do better than them.

I think the sheer stupid fear leading to a tall poppy competence treatment is far more dangerous than the dark future ever could be from actually competent entities in charge that we could never do better than.

I'm not at all following what tall poppies and getting rid of doctors has to do with my view that we're not likely to choose whether machines start giving us orders, but rather to just find ourselves in that situation and with few other options in the nearish future. I'd liken it to the invention of the state, more than anything else, and similarly practically-unavoidable once the advantages are made clear. It's just something that'll happen to us as a result of competitive forces soon after it's made possible, not some deliberate choice we're all going to make collectively, let alone individually.

... either that or all this machine-learning and "AI" development stalls out and we never get much better at it or anything like it. I guess that could happen, too. Doubt it, but you never know.

What "stupid fear"? I'm not even sure it's a dark future, and, as I expect is now clear, I don't really think my or anyone else's opinion on that would affect whether it happens, anyway. It's either possible and so (damn near) inevitable, or not, so won't happen. What I don't think it is, is any kind of choice we're going to make.

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