First - I would add - none of my detractors or 'downvoters' have provided any workable solution.
Even with 'widespread immunity' that was going undetected - for example, 20% of New Yorkers possibly infected, it still means about a 0.8% overall death rate.
Right now we 12K deaths in NYC (it will be 15K if no more infections due to death-lag in reporting) for the 1.8M already supposedly infected. This is about a 0.8% overall death rate.
It means about another 60K dead in NYC alone (the commenter below puts the number here as well)
This is beyond'acceptable risk'.
60K of NYC is a huge number, and it's equivalent to a few million Americans.
I do not think we're just going to give up on shelter-in-place and then hide our elderly and accept millions of Americans dying.
Again - the solution is already there Contact Tracing.
If you want to talk about 'facts' and 'data' consider Koreas numbers [1]
They are spectacular. 250 dead in a country of 24M people and they have COVID under control. Their economy is not locked-down.
They have scientifically demonstrated a workable solution, it involves community participation via contact tracing.
It's irresponsible for us to avoid proven solutions.
Comments
This won't work.
First - I would add - none of my detractors or 'downvoters' have provided any workable solution.
Even with 'widespread immunity' that was going undetected - for example, 20% of New Yorkers possibly infected, it still means about a 0.8% overall death rate.
Right now we 12K deaths in NYC (it will be 15K if no more infections due to death-lag in reporting) for the 1.8M already supposedly infected. This is about a 0.8% overall death rate.
It means about another 60K dead in NYC alone (the commenter below puts the number here as well)
This is beyond'acceptable risk'.
60K of NYC is a huge number, and it's equivalent to a few million Americans.
I do not think we're just going to give up on shelter-in-place and then hide our elderly and accept millions of Americans dying.
Again - the solution is already there Contact Tracing.
If you want to talk about 'facts' and 'data' consider Koreas numbers [1]
They are spectacular. 250 dead in a country of 24M people and they have COVID under control. Their economy is not locked-down.
They have scientifically demonstrated a workable solution, it involves community participation via contact tracing.
It's irresponsible for us to avoid proven solutions.
[1] https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/south-kore...