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Comment on Headlines about coronavirus case counts are worthlessparent

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That would require uniform reporting requirements between different countries, would require the healthcare system not to be so overloaded that they are not going to be able to comply with their reporting duties and so on. Sticking your finger in the air may actually be the preferred method.

A model's outputs can only ever be as good as its inputs. If you want to base your policy on what is effectively random noise then you are going to be wrong no matter what.

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