”Deaths will be overwhelming concentrated among older folks (death rates are about 0.2% for < 40, up to 15% for > 80)”
You can’t use relative risks to say something about absolute numbers; you also have to take group sizes into account.
Given the hugely varying population pyramids between countries there will be a lot of variation between countries, but with about 2% of the world’s population over 80, and about a third under 40, that factor of 75 goes down to around a factor of 5, globally. Still a large difference, but maybe not quite overwhelming.
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”Deaths will be overwhelming concentrated among older folks (death rates are about 0.2% for < 40, up to 15% for > 80)”
You can’t use relative risks to say something about absolute numbers; you also have to take group sizes into account.
Given the hugely varying population pyramids between countries there will be a lot of variation between countries, but with about 2% of the world’s population over 80, and about a third under 40, that factor of 75 goes down to around a factor of 5, globally. Still a large difference, but maybe not quite overwhelming.