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Comment on My Thoughts About the Coronavirus: Ray Dalioparent

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So it sounds like we didn’t learn much from 2008. Will we learn from 2020?

We learned a lot from 2008.

This is a different ball game. There is plenty of credit today. This is a supply shock. There are not applicable lessons from a credit crunch to a panic/virus induced supply shortage.

It’s possibly about to be a demand shortage soon as well.

Aren’t there at least applicable lessons for dealing with an economic crisis regardless of the direct causes? Or preventative measures to take during a boom time? Because it sounds like once again irrational exuberance has caught up with us and we’re about to reap the whirlwind of lack of protection.

There are none, because “economic crisis” is too large of a category to have a one-size-fits-all universal solution for dealing with it. Every type of “economic crisis” has its own cure, like a virus in a way. And the kind birthed by 2008 is as far as possible from what we are dealing with right now.

I think this is different than irrational exuberance. Maybe one could look to the 1970's oil embargo for clues on how this will play out. I really do not know. But I do know 2008 is not a good comparison because the circumstances are just so different.

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