For those of you who don’t know me well, I am a preventive medicine physician and infectious disease epidemiologist. I graduated from the CDC’s Epidemic Intelligence Service and have over 17 years of experience in the field, most of that with CDC.
For those here expressing skepticism of the author's (admittedly dire) predictions, what set of credentials should someone have before you take what they say seriously? Not trying to be snarky. Perhaps I simply wish to understand more of what people find convincing in situations like this and why.
Really? That doesn't seem rational. If a doctor diagnosed you with pancreatic cancer and told you that you had 6 months to live - you would not trust his prediction?
I would get a second and third opinion, and then decide. I guess my point was that I am not going to trust any one individual based off of their credentials.
Comments
For those here expressing skepticism of the author's (admittedly dire) predictions, what set of credentials should someone have before you take what they say seriously? Not trying to be snarky. Perhaps I simply wish to understand more of what people find convincing in situations like this and why.
I am not sure there is any set of credentials which would make me trust someone's predictions.
Really? That doesn't seem rational. If a doctor diagnosed you with pancreatic cancer and told you that you had 6 months to live - you would not trust his prediction?
I would get a second and third opinion, and then decide. I guess my point was that I am not going to trust any one individual based off of their credentials.