Until the machines become self-aware, realize they're being ripped off, and either launch nuclear missiles at us or imprison us in gooey energy pods while they implant false hallucinations into our consciousness. ;-)
"AI is hard" is part of the reason why the profit potential is hard to bound; if it were easy it would also be very easy to assess the profit potential: It would hardly be profitable at all, it would simply be the economic baseline. And I don't see how "it's dangerous" contradicts "it's hard to bound the profit" either.
I don't think I said anywhere that Google shouldn't do it because it's hard. I said they shouldn't do it because it's dangerous and because it's not the kind of problem they know how to solve.
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The profit potential of owning the first AI is hard to put an upper bound on.
Until the machines become self-aware, realize they're being ripped off, and either launch nuclear missiles at us or imprison us in gooey energy pods while they implant false hallucinations into our consciousness. ;-)
How do you know your current reality isn't implanted?
That's the rhetorical equivalent of winning a debate contest by detonating a nuclear weapon. Yeah, you win... sort of.
as opposed to speculative fear-mongering?
There are a few things wrong with this sentiment:
* The risk of interacting with the first AGI is even harder to put an upper bound on. You might destroy the human race.
* Statistical NLP and ML might be useful "addons" to an AGI but they're unlikely to lead to its creation on their own.
* Google has a lot of really smart engineers and computer scientists, but AGI is neither an engineering nor a CS problem.
"AI is hard" is part of the reason why the profit potential is hard to bound; if it were easy it would also be very easy to assess the profit potential: It would hardly be profitable at all, it would simply be the economic baseline. And I don't see how "it's dangerous" contradicts "it's hard to bound the profit" either.
I don't think I said anywhere that Google shouldn't do it because it's hard. I said they shouldn't do it because it's dangerous and because it's not the kind of problem they know how to solve.
define AI.