Comment on Predictions ScorecardComments−hliyan7yA few of my own, from various notes jotted down over the years (adjust to to reflect present realities):A new smartphone form factor -- most likely a smaller, thicker (but less dense) palm-fitting form factor with rounded edges and surfaces: 2020First commercial lab grown meat product: 2022First detection of free Oxygen or other signs of life in an extra-solar planetary atmosphere: 2024Major social upheavals against income inequality in the US and western Europe, with possible economic depression: 2024Electric vehicle sales overtake gasoline vehicles: 2025Last coal plant in the world decommissioned: 2030Next manned lunar landing: 2040First man on Mars: NIML (due to worldwide socioeconomic decline)−DennisP7yJUST was hoping to have lab-grown chicken nuggets for sale by the end of 2018, "subject to regulatory considerations."https://www.just-food.com/news/just-planning-to-launch-lab-g...Regarding Mars, I think at this point it depends more on SpaceX internet satellite profits than on overall socioeconomic conditions.
Comments
A few of my own, from various notes jotted down over the years (adjust to to reflect present realities):
A new smartphone form factor -- most likely a smaller, thicker (but less dense) palm-fitting form factor with rounded edges and surfaces: 2020
First commercial lab grown meat product: 2022
First detection of free Oxygen or other signs of life in an extra-solar planetary atmosphere: 2024
Major social upheavals against income inequality in the US and western Europe, with possible economic depression: 2024
Electric vehicle sales overtake gasoline vehicles: 2025
Last coal plant in the world decommissioned: 2030
Next manned lunar landing: 2040
First man on Mars: NIML (due to worldwide socioeconomic decline)
JUST was hoping to have lab-grown chicken nuggets for sale by the end of 2018, "subject to regulatory considerations."
https://www.just-food.com/news/just-planning-to-launch-lab-g...
Regarding Mars, I think at this point it depends more on SpaceX internet satellite profits than on overall socioeconomic conditions.