Honestly, I think Apple has enough credibility to make it work already. Apple's software directory was already a major place to make sales for indie developers, their conversion rates are historically very high, and the app store for iPhone was a major gold rush.
I bet we'll see a ton of developers hitting it from day one, hoping to get in before everyone else does and the market gets saturated.
The install base will start out at zero initially and quickly rise, but I'm sure 90%+ of the people who install Lion (by definition early adoptors) are going to check it out and many of them will buy something.
I say this as someone who's planning to release an App for it, for what it's worth.
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Honestly, I think Apple has enough credibility to make it work already. Apple's software directory was already a major place to make sales for indie developers, their conversion rates are historically very high, and the app store for iPhone was a major gold rush.
I bet we'll see a ton of developers hitting it from day one, hoping to get in before everyone else does and the market gets saturated.
The install base will start out at zero initially and quickly rise, but I'm sure 90%+ of the people who install Lion (by definition early adoptors) are going to check it out and many of them will buy something.
I say this as someone who's planning to release an App for it, for what it's worth.