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Comment on Why It Might Be a Good Time to Revisit Ray Dalio’s 1937 Analogparent

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For every market event you are always going to find someone who predicted it. People predict everything at every point in time.

Getting one prediction right doesn't prove anything. Getting a lot of them right also doesn't prove anything. No one has managed to show a streak of accurate predictions unless they silently purge their incorrect ones.

Humans have a tendency to focus on the successes and ignore all the failures. It's in human nature and it's very hard to avoid it.

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