Wrong. If you have enough money, and your gains are sufficiently outsized from a win, then any spread bet across dozens of companies will end up making money. Being a VC in Silicon Valley over the last 20 years is a game you can't lose, as long as you have enough money. And let's not forget, they're not even playing with their own money, they are playing with their investors money.
But it doesn't mean you're a smart VC it just means that you're a rich VC. They have enough high profile misses to show they have no idea what is going to be successful. They passed on Google, Apple and Facebook with a combined market value of almost $1.5 trillion dollars.
Being a VC in Silicon Valley over the last 20 years is a game you can't lose, as long as you have enough money
You won’t find a source for this because it isn’t true. Lots of VCs have busted because despite diversification, the odds of a single company in a portfolio of 20 to 100 making it big are very small.
Comments
This anti-portfolio is a sample of Bessemer's Type II errors [1]. It does not follow that they are useless. (Their returns are far from useless.)
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_I_and_type_II_errors
Wrong. If you have enough money, and your gains are sufficiently outsized from a win, then any spread bet across dozens of companies will end up making money. Being a VC in Silicon Valley over the last 20 years is a game you can't lose, as long as you have enough money. And let's not forget, they're not even playing with their own money, they are playing with their investors money.
But it doesn't mean you're a smart VC it just means that you're a rich VC. They have enough high profile misses to show they have no idea what is going to be successful. They passed on Google, Apple and Facebook with a combined market value of almost $1.5 trillion dollars.
You won’t find a source for this because it isn’t true. Lots of VCs have busted because despite diversification, the odds of a single company in a portfolio of 20 to 100 making it big are very small.
Thanks for your anecdotes.