You bring up a good point. China would never dare a direct confrontation with NATO (or even the US) because of mutually assured destruction. Instead we could potentially see a China-backed Taliban.
The Taliban (on the world stage) is relatively innocuous currently compared to what they could become if they had the backing of China. Of course, aiding an unstable militant group would be risky but, if there's enough money involved, it could happen. (It's not like the CIA hasn't tried the same thing numerous times in the past.)
I think worst case scenario is that we could see a completely Taliban-operated Afghanistan that is heavily backed by China, enough so that China has a controlling interest (so to speak) in Afghanistan's affairs. If Afghanistan were to become a pseudo-vassal state, we could see a US backed Iraq or Israel come into some kind of confrontation with the state, although at that scale we get back to problems presented by nuclear war.
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You bring up a good point. China would never dare a direct confrontation with NATO (or even the US) because of mutually assured destruction. Instead we could potentially see a China-backed Taliban.
The Taliban (on the world stage) is relatively innocuous currently compared to what they could become if they had the backing of China. Of course, aiding an unstable militant group would be risky but, if there's enough money involved, it could happen. (It's not like the CIA hasn't tried the same thing numerous times in the past.)
I think worst case scenario is that we could see a completely Taliban-operated Afghanistan that is heavily backed by China, enough so that China has a controlling interest (so to speak) in Afghanistan's affairs. If Afghanistan were to become a pseudo-vassal state, we could see a US backed Iraq or Israel come into some kind of confrontation with the state, although at that scale we get back to problems presented by nuclear war.