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Comment on How a Doctor beat Wall Street

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One of the best parts of this story is how crude a model can be and yet yield tremendous value. A dozen metrics on the underlying loans of the security and "most ARMs reset in two years" giving 3 years as the window for the market to fully recognize how bad the loans were.

The complicated part is all the crude models that don't do much at all that you have to trudge through to get the few worthwhile models.

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