One point he made, is that he did a meta-study amongst his fellow epidemiologists. He found that 90% of them believed there would be a pandemic within their children's or at latest grandchildren's lifetime.
There have been four flu pandemic in the last century, the most recent less than a decade ago. I'm somewhat surprised that 10% of epidemiologists would expect that we won't have any pandemics in a multi-generation period.
Comments
Very scary. Here's an equally scary TED talk on the same subject by an Epidemiologist:
http://www.ted.com/talks/larry_brilliant_wants_to_stop_pande...
One point he made, is that he did a meta-study amongst his fellow epidemiologists. He found that 90% of them believed there would be a pandemic within their children's or at latest grandchildren's lifetime.
There have been four flu pandemic in the last century, the most recent less than a decade ago. I'm somewhat surprised that 10% of epidemiologists would expect that we won't have any pandemics in a multi-generation period.
Is there a real estimate on this?
- The article says 330 million possible deaths.
- In the video Bill refers to over 10 million in one year.
- The computer simulation show is last shown at 33 million and growing.