"payroll data from ... millions of workers, through mid-2025 ... found that young workers aged 22–25 in `highly AI-exposed` jobs, such as software developers and customer service agents, experienced a 13 percent decline in employment since the advent of ChatGPT. Notably, the economists found that older workers and less-exposed jobs, such as home health aides, saw steady or rising employment."
I'm about to read this entire publication, but I would imagine other careers are equally doomed, data-wise (e.g. translation).
Take a look at the first chart in the article [0], which shows employed software engineers by age group (2021 - 2025). Even if "just a correlation ≠ cauation," the employment data of twentysomethings is ALARMING.
Interesting observations: study supports that senior engineers utilize AI more often / better than younger engineers; recommends universities revamp software instruction methods.
"To be honest with you, I considered this debate well and truly settled. No, I’d come to think, AI is probably not wrecking employment for young people. But now, I’m thinking about changing my mind again."
I have been playing with LLMs since GPT-2 (e.g. http://www.thisworddoesnotexist.com), and since GPT-3 (right before ChatGPT) I have recognized the immediate dangers these technologies pose to junior positionships.
"My advice is that predicting the future is impossible, so the best thing you can do is try to describe the present accurately."
Presently, I have accepted that GPT-5 is higher-IQ (quantitatively) than myself. I have accepted this tireless future.
Comments
Recently-published Standford study:
I'm about to read this entire publication, but I would imagine other careers are equally doomed, data-wise (e.g. translation).
please add a comment here, if you do go and read the entire thing. I am also interested in knowing more.
Take a look at the first chart in the article [0], which shows employed software engineers by age group (2021 - 2025). Even if "just a correlation ≠ cauation," the employment data of twentysomethings is ALARMING.
[0] https://imgur.com/a/VhknaiU
Interesting observations: study supports that senior engineers utilize AI more often / better than younger engineers; recommends universities revamp software instruction methods.
I have been playing with LLMs since GPT-2 (e.g. http://www.thisworddoesnotexist.com), and since GPT-3 (right before ChatGPT) I have recognized the immediate dangers these technologies pose to junior positionships.
Presently, I have accepted that GPT-5 is higher-IQ (quantitatively) than myself. I have accepted this tireless future.