However dubious, theoretical, or inapplicable to the real world the study might be - it does sound well-designed to appeal to narcissistic billionaires. And the author of the study appears to be a not-yet-tenured professor at an American university...
Having reached the plateau I can tell you that the confidence you had that you would probably live on is replaced by genuinely not knowing if you have 3 years or 30 years left. It is disconcerting.
Comments
Meanwhile, due to economy, depression, disease etc. actual real-world life span is dropping...
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/pressroom/nchs_press_releases/2022/...
https://www.ft.com/content/653bbb26-8a22-4db3-b43d-c34a0b774...
However dubious, theoretical, or inapplicable to the real world the study might be - it does sound well-designed to appeal to narcissistic billionaires. And the author of the study appears to be a not-yet-tenured professor at an American university...
Having reached the plateau I can tell you that the confidence you had that you would probably live on is replaced by genuinely not knowing if you have 3 years or 30 years left. It is disconcerting.
Summary:
- Methodology: statistical extrapolation from historical mortality data.
- major limitation: does not account for the biology of aging. Cell aging has exponential components. Environmental components accumulate.
very low confidence